The latest US inflation data has just been released, showing a new decline — possibly giving the Federal Reserve a green light to cut interest rates if conditions allow. 

  • Headline CPI (YoY): 2.4% (vs. expected 2.5%), but higher than the previous reading 
  • Headline CPI (MoM): 0.1% (vs. expected 0.2%) 
  • Core CPI (ex. food & energy YoY): 2.8% (vs. expected 2.9%) 
  • Core CPI (MoM): 0.1% (vs. expected 0.3%) 

These positive figures have increased expectations for a September rate cut by the Fed. Traders are now pricing in two rate cuts in 2025

Market Reaction: 

  • US Dollar Index dropped to 98.695 📉
  • Gold Futures rose 0.38% to $2,354.06/oz 
  • Gold Bullion surged 0.95% to $2,354.24/oz 
  • Wall Street Futures turned green: 
  • Dow Jones up 92 pts (+0.25%) 
  • S&P 500 up 0.36% 
  • Nasdaq up 0.45% 

Conclusion: 

The lower-than-expected inflation numbers increase the likelihood of monetary easing, which is already energizing markets and investors alike.